UK Economy Shrank By 2.6% During Second Lockdown In November

Official statistics released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that UK GDP shrank by 2.6% in November as the UK was placed under a second National lockdown.

November鈥檚 figures come after six consecutive months of growth following a sharp decline in April: the peak of the first national lockdown.

听gross domestic product was 8.5% below its pre-pandemic peak.

Industries hit badly included pubs and hairdressers, as the public were encouraged to stay at home. Conversely, industries such as car manufacturing, house building and infrastructure improved, with construction activity growing by 1.9% during the month.

The service sector 鈥 which accounts for around three-quarters of the UK economy 鈥 continued to take a hit, leaving it 9.9% below the level of February 2020.

GDP in 2020

Source: BBC


However some economists were optimistic about the figures, saying companies were better prepared for the second lockdown, meaning the figures weren鈥檛 as bad as expected.

Alpesh Paleja, lead economist at the CBI employers鈥 group, commented to the BBC saying 鈥淪teps taken by businesses earlier in the year to Covid-proof their operations 鈥 combined with the time-limited nature of the restrictions, and schools remaining open 鈥 meant more companies were able to continue trading safely,鈥

But with the vaccine starting to roll out this month and an extended furlough scheme in place, we might be on the up.

Analysts at Capital Economics also said there was cause for optimism, saying that the current third lockdown could have less impact than feared.

鈥淭he economy has built up a fair bit of immunity to lockdowns, as November鈥檚 lockdown was much less painful for the economy than the first lockdown.

鈥淎s a result, the Covid-19 economic hole is smaller than we thought, the economy may get back to its pre-crisis crisis level a bit sooner and it makes us more confident that the Bank of England probably won鈥檛 resort to negative interest rates.鈥